Эта неделя была насыщена важными событиями в мировой экономике. Внимание трейдеров привлекли ключевые данные по инфляции, показателям рынка труда и потребительской активности, а также решения центробанков, которые задавали тон на финансовых рынках.
Japan:
● At 5:00 a.m. GMT, the Bank of Japan’s Core CPI (year-over-year) was released at 2.4%, beating the forecast of 2.3% and up from the previous 2.2%. This signals a continuing rise in inflation in Japan.
United States:
● At 12:30 p.m. GMT, Core Durable Goods Orders (month-over-month, April) came in at 0.2%, beating expectations of -0.1% and improving from -0.2%. This points to a modest recovery in US manufacturing activity.
● At 2:00 p.m. GMT, the CB Consumer Confidence Index (May) rose sharply to 98.0, far exceeding the forecast of 87.1 and the prior 85.7. This reflects a significant increase in US consumer sentiment.
New Zeland:
● At 2:00 a.m. GMT, the RBNZ interest rate decision was announced. The rate was held steady at 3.25%, matching forecasts but down from the previous 3.50%.
Germany:
● At 7:55 a.m. GMT, Unemployment Change in Germany (May) was reported at +34,000, significantly above both the forecast of +12,000 and the previous +4,000. This indicates signs of weakening in the German labor market.
United States:
● At 6:00 p.m. GMT, FOMC Meeting Minutes were released, providing deeper insight into the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance and future rate outlook.
United States:
● At 12:30 p.m. GMT, Initial Jobless Claims were reported at 240,000, above the expected 229,000 and higher than the previous 226,000. This may signal ongoing weakening in the US labor market.
● At 4:00 p.m. GMT, Crude Oil Inventories unexpectedly dropped by 2.795 million barrels, versus a forecast increase of 1.000 million and the prior build of 1.328 million. This drawdown supported oil prices.
Japan:
● At 11:30 p.m. GMT, Tokyo Core CPI (year-over-year, May) climbed to 3.6%, slightly exceeding the forecast of 3.5% and up from the prior 3.4%. Inflation pressures in Tokyo remain elevated (3,4%).
Германия:
● At 9:00 a.m. GMT, Retail Sales (month-over-month, April) are scheduled for release. Forecast: +0.1%, Previous: +0.4%
This data will reflect the pace of consumer spending in Germany.
United States:
● At 12:30 p.m. GMT, the Core PCE Price Index (month-over-month, April) is due. Forecast: +0.1%, Previous: 0.0%. This is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge and a key input for future interest rate decisions.
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